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IHS: Trends in Security Technology Frontiers in 2019
Jan 28, 2019

 Recently, IHS released the 2019 Security Technology Trends White Paper as scheduled , and its analysts made predictions on the trend of video surveillance, access control systems and communication technologies. This article shares the main contents of the white paper (the personal understanding does not destroy the original intention) ), for detailed white paper content, please download the original report link:        White Paper Download Address: Click here   As one of the important innovation technologies in the industry, video is emerging in the field of public security, including ICT technology, deep learning algorithms, etc. These new technologies are providing more comprehensive insights for urban security, enabling urban managers to achieve Real-time response to emergencies such as target analysis of dense populations, intelligent analysis of massive video data, etc. Therefore, the estimated 2019 years of professional surveillance cameras will continue to Growth - 2019 global camcorder shipments will exceed 1.8 million units, while the average price of cameras and other monitoring equipment will also be a sharp decline and leveling off. IHS predicts that the global security market will grow at an annual rate of 8% in 2019 , with regional markets such as India and Latin America growing fastest.   The following is a development forecast for the 2019 technology trend for industry professionals to plan for:   Market changes in 2019   In recent years, professional video surveillance market is more concentrated, 2007 global top three suppliers of the market revenue of 17% , 2012 Nian accounted for 18% , 2017 Nian is accounted for 40% . But despite such data, the supply situation of professional video surveillance equipment market is still more fragmented than in other sectors of the market, so there are still many home relatively small supplier in the world, some of the market share is far below 1 % .   In the past ten years, inter-enterprise acquisitions have never stopped. The big acquisitions include Schneider’s acquisition of Pelco, Hanwha’s acquisition of Samsung, and Canon’s acquisition of Axis. In recent years, many video surveillance software vendors have been acquired, such as Canon's acquisition of Milestone Systems , Briefcam , OnSSI's acquisition of SeeTec , Panasonic's acquisition of Video Insight , and Tyco's acquisition of Exacq . There are also examples of monitoring vendors acquiring other security technology vendors, such as Haikang's acquisition of Pyronix and Motorola's acquisition of Wisdom. In general, global suppliers are actively preparing for the challenges of Hikvision, Dahua and Axis. I believe that mergers and acquisitions will continue in the coming year, but it is not expected. There will be another large-scale merger and acquisition. It is worth noting that these three major suppliers are not the top ten suppliers in the 2005 period, but all are “newcomers” developed in the Internet age. Their growth rate is impressive, which also indicates the change of market share. Speed and the growth rate of new entrants. In recent years, the professional video surveillance market has ushered in new faces, such as Motorola, Eagle Eye , Amazon, Huawei, etc. It is estimated that there will be more new entrants in 2019. Under the technological changes, they have also become The possibility of a leader in the future market. a&s Comments: From the various survey data, the security market will continue to be flat in the coming year. Coupled with the cold winter, there are not many stories to be said in the coming year, but this does not mean that the market will not There will be no waves. The manufacturers represented by Huawei are trying to break the current market structure. In the critical period of technological change, new players are also the easiest to achieve new leaders.   Cybersecurity is not a political game   Cybersecurity was the key word in the industry in 2018 , but most of it was politically related, and some Western brands wanted to differentiate their products from those of Chinese competitors through cybersecurity. Because of these factors, the real threat of cybersecurity has been neglected.   As more and more devices are connected and interconnected, every node on the network is likely to be attacked by criminals. At the same time, the current IT and ICT industry has done relatively well in network security protection, so cybercriminals are beginning to focus on the emerging Internet of Things market, such as smart home and security.   IHS Markit predicts:   • Equipment vendors will increasingly focus on the source of components and software and reshape OEM partnerships. As end users in the vertical market will review the software, it will also increase transparency;   • In the low-end market, ease of use will be the biggest competitor to cyber security. For SMB users, the priority will be ease of use and ease of installation, and no changes will occur until the corresponding laws and regulations are introduced;   • Due to historical factors, the industry lacks its own regulations and norms, and blindly following the pace of the IT industry is not the best way; • Political interests will continue to affect the development of cybersecurity, and Chinese suppliers will face broader challenges. a&s Comments: There is not much problem in focusing on network security itself, but after adding political factors, the global market atmosphere has become very different. At present, the security industry is also calling for its own network security standards, so the vendors standing at the top of the technology may More profitable.   The impact of GDPR   Last year we discussed the impact of GDPR on video surveillance. This year we talked about its actual performance a year later. Equipment manufacturers, if not EU member states, will also receive in 2018 Nian 5 update various email marketing privacy policy before January, but this is only the beginning, for video surveillance will be how?   Strictly speaking, for video surveillance systems, the relevant signs of complying with GDPR regulations are less obvious. GDPR replaces the privacy regulations of EU member states, but some of these regulations do not have specific requirements for video surveillance. Only some of them have specific requirements ( for example, requiring the signing of video surveillance records and dedicated contacts or data controllers ). . However, many of the GDPR requirements applied to video surveillance technology still seem ambiguous. Therefore, some equipment suppliers have introduced functions and solutions that meet the GDPR regulations, such as automatic image masking and user authority control , but the official GDPR- compliant products are not yet available. The responsibility for regulating GDPR is mainly in the data protection department of EU member states. After 6 months of implementation , only a few cases were prosecuted or fined. According to IHS , there are no video surveillance cases for which you have been sued or fined. For the regulatory authorities, as the public’s awareness of privacy increases, the investigation The number of complaints will increase, and it will inevitably increase their resource pressure. Therefore , the actual impact on the video surveillance industry is still small for the 2019 forecast. a&s Comments: Although it seems that the “most strict” data privacy law has had no impact on video surveillance as much as imagined, the core of the future industry lies in data. Domestic manufacturers have worked on personal information security and privacy protection in recent years. It has only just begun, so the domestic industry may have more significance for GDPR learning and learning than others.   Edge computing and deep learning   In 2018 , deep learning analysis is almost always done on the server or cloud, not on the edge side. Based on the advantages of edge computing, it can be inferred that 2019 will be an important year for the development of ASIC chips.   The Jetson embedded computing platform from NVIDIA allows operations based on edges. However, the Jetson platform is a general purpose GPU and is not specifically designed for video surveillance. Intel 's Myriad X VPU is Movidius ' third-generation VPU , which features a neural computing engine — a dedicated hardware accelerator for deep neural network reasoning. Deep learning analysis is also deployed on the cloud, and you can use the Video Analysis as a Service (VAaaS) solution by simply adding a device at the edge of the gateway .   When the depth learning camera was launched in 2016 , there were only a few AI chips available on the market , but their high price and high power consumption limitations meant that the application of these cameras was limited. IHS Markit expected in the next few years, designed for network cameras designed SOCs will be able to support basic processing functions run on the camera depth study analysis required, without the need for additional processing power. ASIC SOCs will benefit the price-sensitive mass market and enable mass production. It is understood that ASIC SOCs with lower power consumption and more compact design are under development, and established semiconductor giants and small start-ups are developing ASIC chips for deep learning cameras , which is exacerbating competition in this field.   Currently. Both Anba and HiSili are developing ASIC SOCs for webcam . Ambar has already released the CV2S SOC . However, for the video surveillance needs of the mass market, such chipsets are currently overpriced and have overflowing functions, so they are more likely to be more suitable for autonomous driving. It is reported that Anba is currently developing the CV22S , including the CVFlow architecture that provides DNN (Deep Neural Network) processing for deep learning analysis , which will be released in early 2019 . Similar to Aba , HiSili is developing a Hi3559A SOC with CNN accelerator for processing deep learning analysis, in addition to Qualcomm will also release QCS605 .   IHS Markit expects that by 2022 , 50% of the world 's web cameras will be equipped with deep learning accelerators, offering up to 0.5 to 2 DL TOPS . In other words, the camera will support basic object detection and classification, and the deep learning accelerator will not add excessive cost to the price of the SOC . It is expected that the development of edge-to-core processing will become more common in the next few years. These more powerful edge devices will flexibly allocate the required workloads, but edge devices will not completely replace the server or cloud capabilities, complementing each other will be the future trend. a&s Comments: In terms of deep learning and edge computing, the application and cognition level of domestic manufacturers has been ahead of the international market. Many AI companies have also begun to introduce corresponding deep learning or chip solutions, plus domestic policy guidance and support, 2019 The market competition in the year is bound to enter a white-hot stage.   Security industry app store   More and more suppliers are promoting their own application ecosystem. This is a further manifestation of enhanced edge processing capabilities and a decentralized architecture. However, the application of video surveillance cameras is not a new concept. But with the advancement of deep learning technology, the convergence of application-based ecosystems and video analytics has meant that more applications based on deep learning video analytics will be compatible with more cameras, which is completely different from the past.   Notable examples of video surveillance camera application ecosystems released by equipment vendors in 2018 include :   • Huawei's software-defined camera   • Bosch and SAST start cooperation   There are also supplements to existing platforms, including :   • Axis camera application platform   • Cisco IP Camera Application   These platforms provide downloadable software applications to compatible webcams through the App Store. This has the potential to change the mode of the current camera. However, there are also many people who are concerned about the application ecosystem of video surveillance cameras:   • After the system configuration is complete, the camera functions need to be changed only a few. For example, after the camera is installed, the video analysis function or software will rarely change;   • Currently, most surveillance cameras are installed for security purposes. In the event of an accident, the surveillance camera is required to detect the captured video image. Therefore, these cameras are unlikely to change the previous application at will.   Despite these issues, having open standards and operating systems specifically for security and IoT devices means that different hardware and software vendors can use the same platform. In theory, this makes it easier to configure the best components and is more flexible than the interoperability standard protocol. This also allows the ecosystem to provide a more convenient delivery method, camera applications can be changed through the store, no longer limited by manpower and production. Of course, to achieve such application development and support, a large amount of investment in technology and configuration is required, especially to create applications with both security and performance.  It is worth noting that this will have a major impact on traditional sales channels and software vendors. Although the app store is not a new concept, it is believed that it will become a disruptive force in video surveillance in the future and will spread to other IoT markets. a&s Comments: Taken together, the store model seems to be more suitable for consumer security, but the domestic market is just getting started, and the advantages and disadvantages of software definition are quite obvious. The future changes still need further maturity.   Electronic access control market forecast   IHS Markit predicts that the market for electronic access control solutions is saturated. In 2018 , its market reached $ 5.2 billion, and in the past few years it has been at a rate of 6% . Among them, electronic locks are still the largest and fastest-growing product category in the field of access control, accounting for nearly 40% of the global access control equipment market .   Although the market growth rate has remained stable, the technological development in 2018 has also had a huge impact on the market. The most prominent trend is mobile credentials, which are seen as an important factor in changing the current business model of access control systems. In 2018 , the mobile voucher market is still in its infancy, but many end users are already looking forward to the transition and upgrade of the technology by installing the corresponding card reader in the original system, and predicting all card reader products sold in the market in 2020 . More than 10% will support compatible mobile certificates.   In addition, 2019 and other trends that need attention are the Access Control as a Service (ACaaS) model, which enables users to implement access control management without having to invest in a high on-site IT infrastructure. . Especially in small and medium-sized projects (less than 50 access control systems management), ACaaS solutions will be particularly popular. The top 15 access control providers account for more than half of the total size of the global access control market, but for new suppliers, especially for small and medium-sized projects, there are still some opportunities. The competition for mobile certificates and the ACaaS market is expected to be fierce in 2019 , and will also attract new market entrants. a&s Comments: After a round of transformation, domestic access control manufacturers, from consumer cameras to smart locks, this year, with the development of community grid, around the smart community will usher in a new round of competition, in addition to mobile applications At present, the existing network vulnerabilities are still not to be underestimated.   SaaS promotes next-generation emergency response system The transition   to SaaS is underway in both consumer and commercial areas. But in the field of public safety, this transition is still slow, and the good news is that the pace of change in the past year is clearly accelerating.   Core emergency response technologies, computer-aided scheduling and record management software are increasingly being deployed through SaaS . The trend to further accelerate this year is product integration capabilities and analytics. Including Motorola (Motorola) and Hexagon , including several vendors are providing products subscription-based services, these products will be CAD , the RMS , surveillance cameras, integrated sensors and other data sources to a common platform. The key goal of these platforms is to leverage and aggregate data from existing infrastructure and systems, and display the data on a single screen, allowing users to analyze the data to highlight issues such as dense areas of crime, enabling law enforcement to Better distribution of field personnel. In general, this marks the transition from post-security to preventive security. a&s Comments: The biggest difference between smart security and traditional security is “fast”, and it is the trend of the future industry to engage in the future. At the same time, in the smart city system, the urban brain giant system launched by BAT has included urban security, and the integration of the entire industry may be even higher in the future.   (This article was compiled from the IHS report and has been revised) 

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